huinesoron: (Earthrise)
Today is the last day. Today, we finally reach the end of this long process: Britain is leaving the EU. Brexit is accomplished. The struggle is over.

Ha! Only kidding. Brexit has never been a single day: Brexit is the period which starts on that day. So far, despite the political anguish, we haven't seen too many actual consequences of the decision to Leave, but believe me, there are consequences, and they are heading our way.

Very little is actually expected to change today: the current situation is that we have a Withdrawal Agreement which will keep the UK effectively part of the EU, but without representation in the EU, until the end of the year (or until a final deal is made). This is happening because the government has been utterly unable to agree a deal on what the final relationship between us and the EU should look like, and I have no expectation that they will manage to do so in the next 11 months. So a Crash-and-Burn ("No-Deal") Brexit is still not only possible, but likely at that time.

So what does that mean for the people on the ground? Oh, there'll be all sorts of stuff about Single Markets and Free Movement of People, but for the actual British people, what are the consequences going to be?

The consequences )
huinesoron: (middle-earth)


Despite calling the election at the time of her choosing, when her party had a 20% lead in the polls, and for the explicit purpose of increasing her majority so her own back benchers couldn't keep arguing with her... Theresa May has just lost her majority. The government of the UK for the next five* years will be a minority, with the Conservatives getting things done through the support of the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).

(*Or however long before she feels like throwing another election.)

Historically, the other Northern Irish party, Sinn Féin, have practiced abstentionism, refusing to actually show up to a parliament they consider to not be the actual rulers of Northern Ireland. Whether that will continue now that their opponents are part of the government remains to be seen. (The abstentionism policy does make the numbers slightly less dire for Theresa May - SF have seven seats, so she only needs 322 votes to have an effective majority.)

This is a stunning result for Jeremy Corbyn's newly left-wing Labour Party, with a massive increase in seats (and they only had 2.4% fewer votes than the Tories). It's actually even worse than it looks for the Conservatives - they came out 12 seats down, but gained 12 in Scotland, taking them from the Scottish National Party (Labour also got 6 at the SNP's expense). That means that in England and Wales, Theresa May managed to lose 24 seats - many of them to Labour.

All in all, Mrs May must be feeling a bit under the weather. So at [personal profile] celebestel's suggestion, I sent her something to make her feel better:

Images under the cut )
huinesoron: (Star Destroyer)
"And if our human rights laws get in the way of doing it, we will change the law so we can do it."

Who do you think - Trump, maybe? Nigel Farrage? Some African dictator, or maybe Kim Jong Un?

No, it's the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Theresa May, explaining how she intends to combat terrorism by a 'guilty until proven innocent' policy:

"And I mean doing more to restrict the freedom and movements of terrorist suspects when we have enough evidence to know they are a threat, but not enough evidence to prosecute them in full in court."

Sweet flipping mercy.
huinesoron: (Star Destroyer)
So we all know the world is careening into disaster at the hands of Twitter Personality & President Donald J. Trump. At this point that's practically old news.

And then last night we got the news that Turkey has voted through a referendum which replaces their parliamentary system with a presidential one - but one where the president lacks many of the checks-slash-balances that, say, the US has. And that this was voted in by the rural areas, not the cities, in a campaign where the government apparently said anyone who voted against them was a terrorist.

But now that's old news too, because Theresa May, the unelected Conservative PM of Britain, whose party implemented a law back in '11 that would give them five year parliaments instead of 4, and also made it so that there's no way for an early election to be called... is calling for an early election. She says it's because Westminster is divided over Brexit... which translates as 'people disagree with me, so please make them leave'. Which is... great.

But still, the early election she previously swore she didn't want would require a 2/3 majority vote in Parliament. Which is fine, because the Opposition (who are running low in the polls) would never go for that.

Except that apparently Jeremy Corbyn thinks that 'all the polls say everyone hates me' translates as 'I want people to vote now!'. Because... I don't know, he doesn't like being in a position of authority and wants his party to be crushed under the Tory yoke some more?

You know all the claims that Trump is being controlled by Putin? With this and the way Labour didn't really get into the Brexit campaign, I'm starting to feel like Corbyn might be controlled by Theresa May...
huinesoron: (Earthrise)
So on the 23rd, the Copeland by-election happened. Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition (Labour) managed to lose a parliamentary seat to Her Majesty's Government (Conservative). That's the first time that's happened in 35 years, the first time it's happened in a comparable by-election since 1878, and the first time Labour has lost control of Copeland since 1935.

What I'm getting at is that it was a pretty hard blow for anyone who feels that the Conservatives are trying to drive this country straight down the drain. The opinion polls are pretty rough, too - Labour are trailing by a good 12%, which is frankly dire.

So how did this happen? Are people genuinely in favour of the party of selling off the NHS, the party which repeatedly declared in the recent debate over Trump that 'good for UK foreign policy' is far more important than 'not morally repugnant'?

Well, possibly. They did vote for them, after all (though not for Theresa May, who remains steadfastly unelected). But I have a second theory, and it's about Jeremy Corbyn.

Corbyn was elected as leader of Labour because he is left-wing. He's radical. He's a wind of change over the indistinguishable-from-the-Tories days of the '90s and '00s. But... he hasn't done anything. The two times he's had major votes in parliament, he either let the MPs do whatever they wanted (air strikes in Syria) or commanded them to vote directly against his party's wishes (the Brexit bill).

He hasn't changed a single blessed thing. Local councils under Corbyn's Labour act exactly the same as they always have done. MPs, ditto, except they now spend their time resigning as well. Is he hampered by an uncooperative party? I guess, maybe. But 60% of the Labour party's membership wanted him as their leader. Surely that kind of popular mandate can be parlayed into some kind of change?

But apparently not. I've just read his Wikipedia article, and he hasn't done anything.

So yeah, now I'm fed up with all the major parties in the UK. The Tories are the Tories. Corbyn is useless. The Lib Dems are still the traitors to their stances that they were when they formed a coalition with the Tories. UKIP are vile. And the SNP are just mucking about up in Scotland.

Hope someone actually vote-worthy shows up before 2020.
huinesoron: (Imagineer)
Inspired by a dream in which Donald Trump showed me his pick for successor as president: a white cartoon rabbit. Got me thinking about what other ways the presidency could be subverted.

... in a stunning 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court ruled that the constitutional requirement of a 'natural-born citizen' did not bar legal persons such as corporations from the highest office in the land. This unexpected validation of Microzon's candidacy temporarily disoriented the rest of the field, and led directly to the global megacorporation's selection as the Republican candidate for President of the United States...

-from T. C. Idowu's The Birth of Civilization, Volume 1, The Decline and Fall of the American Empire

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